I explained that

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=itGFrXAlHPA

I said September 4, Rockdoc didn't want to go on the record with a prediction.

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=itGFrXAlHPA

September 4? I guess that was some other subject. Just curious, which one?

How about this prediction?



Hey VL, I'll give ya $100 for the condo before it gets swamped!

My parents own it, but they are too old to travel so me and my brothers/sisters own it..It's at the Sanderac, 1 minute from golf, 15 minutes from the dog track.

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=itGFrXAlHPA

So the water temperature (which affect hurricanes) is going to rise 50 degrees above normal? Thats like 120 degrees. You should call MIT, they are hiring professors.

Since gulf water is already pretty warm, I guess you could fish for crabs and lobsters and they'd already be cooked!

The latest estimate from BP is they expect to intersect the blown well at the end of this month. If they manage to actually hit the well bore on the first try, then plugging the well begins imediately. Barring further delays, we can expect a "bottom kill" finished by the middle of next month, not Sept 4 (Wherever he pulled that number from?). Given that the cap has brought the well under control, there is now a real temptation to further "stem the tide" by hooking up pipe to the well head and forcing mud down the hole. Now that they can connect securely to the well head, the mud loss problem experienced previously no longer is an issue. Also, because of a secure connection, they can weight the mud and have a one mile column of mud weighing down on the oil pressure. This is why BP is eager to do it because the chance of success is very high. I also suspect they are a little concerned about hitting the hole with the relief well. To understand the technical challenge, you can think of trying to hit a 8 inch diameter hole from 3 miles away. I bet that would be hard to do with a powerful rifle armed with a lazer scope. To make matters even more challenging, drilling a well is like trying to use a cooked strand of spaghetti to drill a hole in a piece of wood. Most lay people have no idea of how difficult it is to drill an oil well. We tend to think of solid pipe as very ridgid, but when it is over 3 miles long, it no longer remians rigid.

The top kill therefore mitigates the urgency with the bottom kill project, but does not eliminate it. Now back to describing more core.

Rockdoc, you have to learn about VL's "predictions."

Once, under his Manna Pro nick, he "predicted" where a hurricane would hit the Florida coast. When it didn't hit near where he "predicted" he went back and changed his prediction and then bragged about how accurate he was.

It's his online shtick.

Thanks for the insight. Frankly, I could care less about his predictions. It's his misinformation that is troubling. However, having said that, I realize there is a VL BS alert everyone understands. My problem is I gave him too much attention by responding to absurd declarations. I've learned.